The professor who has 13 keys for an Nice Frankenstein So Franken Over It Shirt election is confident Trump will lose. He called trump winning when no one else did. There are regular polls from Rasmussen that bump up Trump’s polling numbers. There were also polls from Zogby that showed Trump polling better than Biden? Both of those affected then numbers even though those two appeared to be outliers. I usually look at the overall numbers and see what the trend is. Most people consume much less political news than people on Reddit. A large chunk of the country consumes none at all. If you assume that, you can start to see presidential approval.
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As something closer to “economy approval” or Nice Frankenstein So Franken Over It Shirts whatever is directly impacting that person. What people really want from their government is not to have to worry about it. If you and your community are doing OK, you may prefer to stick your head in the sand and generally give everything a thumbs up. I would guess tribalism at its finest, people first tuning into politics after the summer and retreating behind the battle lines in the sand. He hit a near-all-time-low in June when covid was top of everyone’s mind and we were seeing all those charts about how every other country on earth got their numbers down but the US was still in the first wave. June was awful.
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